Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.017341 5.637233 6.313813 7.108709 8.019084 9.031503 10.245935
2025-01-19 3.893004 4.664552 5.570277 6.717788 8.141023 9.858712 12.104519
2025-01-26 3.367178 4.234383 5.310157 6.754667 8.661574 11.117828 14.561753
2025-02-02 3.069557 4.016477 5.245951 6.979167 9.391515 12.677768 17.575569
2025-02-09 2.809413 3.800940 5.138955 7.105320 9.970267 14.069012 20.517779
2025-02-16 2.588717 3.605927 5.025810 7.190764 10.476660 15.390263 23.513666
2025-02-23 2.403007 3.435748 4.921818 7.264643 10.956008 16.706150 26.662861
2025-03-02 2.172960 3.176136 4.657395 7.060273 10.970232 17.281023 28.661718
2025-03-09 2.004853 2.992023 4.485673 6.975458 11.154013 18.133858 31.230395
2025-03-16 1.855265 2.822205 4.318540 6.876519 11.295213 18.918386 33.770846
2025-03-23 1.802934 2.799387 4.379180 7.154599 12.102085 20.945599 38.910045
2025-03-30 1.701478 2.688465 4.286010 7.159404 12.423102 22.127693 42.579986
2025-04-06 1.593716 2.561505 4.160047 7.102508 12.640098 23.169463 46.195632
2025-04-13 1.435873 2.339242 3.855621 6.698923 12.167140 22.827152 46.852017
2025-04-20 1.366000 2.261659 3.794391 6.732997 12.534629 24.193153 51.457621
2025-04-27 1.331462 2.242318 3.833163 6.956107 13.296856 26.461784 58.509774
2025-05-04 1.284906 2.197836 3.822379 7.081667 13.873356 28.411083 65.164474
2025-05-11 1.236273 2.145801 3.793050 7.166763 14.372998 30.255717 71.905130
2025-05-18 1.189778 2.094183 3.760048 7.240357 14.854567 32.121611 79.058626
2025-05-25 1.112629 1.980148 3.599579 7.036760 14.701970 32.487305 82.261109
2025-06-01 1.055771 1.900761 3.500362 6.952265 14.807363 33.481280 87.391843
2025-06-08 1.001544 1.822979 3.398808 6.853698 14.869268 34.375771 92.414577
2025-06-15 0.991560 1.830384 3.467392 7.130728 15.846598 37.716632 105.428996